|
|
Status: (3) Lamborghini
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,302
|
Expertise: Real Estate: Apartments
Locale: Binghamton, NY
My Mood:
|
|
|
Re: Risk Poll 2: If I gave you $500...
|
Nov 22nd, 2009, 09:05 AM
#4 (permalink)
|
Statistically, the results are the same.
100% x $100 = (50% x $0) + (50% x $200)
What isn't the same is the spread of the results.
In the first case, I'd ALWAYS lose $100.
In the second, I'd lose $100 ON AVERAGE.
So, I'd think gamblers would tend to go with choice #2, since they hope for the best.
More conservative people would go with choice #1, since they'd fear the worse.
An opportunist would bop you in the jaw while you are watching the coin go up, and take all your money.
|
|