View Single Post
bflbob
Status: Offline
Thanks: 149
Thanked 382 Times in 190 Posts
Send a message via Yahoo to bflbob Send a message via Skype™ to bflbob
Status: (3) Lamborghini
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,302
Expertise: Real Estate: Apartments
Locale: Binghamton, NY
My Mood:
bflbob's Avatar
Reply With Quote
 
 

Statistically, the results are the same.
100% x $100 = (50% x $0) + (50% x $200)

What isn't the same is the spread of the results.
In the first case, I'd ALWAYS lose $100.
In the second, I'd lose $100 ON AVERAGE.

So, I'd think gamblers would tend to go with choice #2, since they hope for the best.
More conservative people would go with choice #1, since they'd fear the worse.

An opportunist would bop you in the jaw while you are watching the coin go up, and take all your money.