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biophase
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Joined: Jul 2007
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Expertise: E-Business: ECommerce
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bflbob View Post
Statistically, the results are the same.
100% x $100 = (50% x $0) + (50% x $200)

What isn't the same is the spread of the results.
In the first case, I'd ALWAYS lose $100.
In the second, I'd lose $100 ON AVERAGE.

So, I'd think gamblers would tend to go with choice #2, since they hope for the best.
More conservative people would go with choice #1, since they'd fear the worse.

An opportunist would bop you in the jaw while you are watching the coin go up, and take all your money.
Remind me to watch Bob at the Beer and Pancakes Meeting.