Re: Best way to invest in gold and silver?
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Nov 9th, 2009, 10:09 PM
#9 (permalink)
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The central gold trust is a closed end fund that trades on both the TSX(Canada) and the AMEX(US). It holds both physical and certificates for gold but is mostly physical. The good thing about a closed end fund is that they can trade above or below the net asset value of the assets. Currently the fund trades at about a 5% premium.
Another closed end fund you may be interested in is the Central Fund Of Canada which trades is both the States and in Canada also but holds both Gold(54.3%) and silver(43.3%) bullion. This one trades at a premium also of about 9% mostly due to silver being more volatile then gold. You can use both of these closed end funds to measure the sentiment (premium/discount to NAV) for precious metals they rarely trade at a discount.
ETf's for Gold(GLD) and Silver(SLV) are also an option and will trade closer to the spot price they also track the bullion well. I am not sure if there are Canadian equivalents for these but I am sure there are. I would avoid any Horizon Betapro etfs in Canada as they overcharge on fees and are a joke in general. Before you buy a commodity ETF make sure it holds the physical commodity. Stay away from commodity ETFs that track futures markets they are only good for trading not for long to medium term investing
Buying physical gold and silver is also an option, I prefer bars to coins because they have no numismatic value. Just make sure the premium you pay is not too high. I have no problem holding shares of a gold fund as I think they are very safe.
And the more risky way to own gold/silver is to buy shares in mining companies. These may not track bullion prices that well but can offer substantial upside if a major find is discovered. Of course this becomes a specialized area of investment if you are looking for the next great gold mine and at these prices gold and silver companies are less leveraged to the spot market then they were at lower values.
As for is it a good time to buy gold, your guess is as good as mine. For trading this market I have had the best success buying weakness and not strength. But If you are looking at investing in terms of a long term holding in a portfolio you need to consider what you expect in the future. Gold prices are effected buy demand for jewelry, central bank holdings, and protection from a weakening dollar. Inflation is also seen as a reason to buy gold but I do not know if that will push it up higher here if the US dollar does not continue to fall. Fear is also seen as a reason to own gold but not when it is liquidity based fear because it is a fairly liquid market it gets sold first. Becareful reading gold investing articles on the net lots of crazy gold bugs out there.
